PnL (30d)

+$599

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$16

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+11.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

55%

228W / 183L · 12 open

Win Return (30d)

56%

237W / 186L

Trades (30d)

423

across 249 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$2.46

avg win $14 · loss $12

Profit Factor

1.45

$1,929 won / $1,330 lost

Reward / Risk

1.15

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$63

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.5% 228W/183L	249	$5,539
🎬 Culture	51.6% 33W/31L	25	$770
🤖 Tech	57.6% 19W/14L	16	$554
🏛 Politics	45.2% 14W/17L	9	$216
💵 Economy	80.0% 4W/1L	3	$61

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?	No	550	0.920	$506.00	$150.50	+42.3%
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	476	0.915	$435.93	$26.20	+6.4%
Will Disney say "Box Office" during earnings call?	Yes	90	0.950	$85.50	$9.00	+11.8%
Will Disney say "Toy Story 5" during earnings call?	Yes	88	0.940	$82.73	$15.24	+22.6%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	No	98	0.675	$65.90	$14.30	+27.7%
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?	Yes	200	0.195	$39.00	$-18.91	-32.7%
Will Uber say "Nvidia" during earnings call?	No	60	0.385	$23.10	$1.50	+6.9%
Will Uber say "Market Share" during earnings call?	No	37	0.555	$20.55	$-10.17	-33.1%
Will Disney say "Epic Universe" during earnings call?	No	30	0.680	$20.40	$0.90	+4.6%
Will Uber say "Expansion" during earnings call?	No	6	0.410	$2.46	$1.14	+86.4%
Will Airbnb say "International" during earnings call?	No	1	0.345	$0.49	$0.06	+15.0%