PnL (30d)

−$149

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$9

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 2L · 19 open

Win Return (30d)

90%

19W / 2L

Trades (30d)

21

across 2 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

−$148.60

· loss $149

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $149 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	75.7% 140W/45L	80	$144,371
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	12	$25,287
💵 Economy	83.3% 5W/1L	6	$24,662
₿ Crypto	100.0% 5W/0L	6	$7,850
⚽ Sports	100.0% 2W/0L	5	$3,549
🎬 Culture	—	1	$2,631

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	No	4,971	0.885	$4,399.10	$298.14	+7.3%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	3,999	0.660	$2,639.24	$8.56	+0.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?	No	1,698	0.935	$1,588.01	$20.46	+1.3%
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2,575	0.590	$1,519.33	$-65.91	-4.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	No	1,317	0.973	$1,281.22	$176.23	+15.9%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	No	605	0.950	$574.73	$74.73	+14.9%
Will Solana dip to $60 in August?	No	500	0.875	$437.50	$37.50	+9.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	No	371	0.962	$356.31	$56.31	+18.8%
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	500	0.700	$350.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	422	0.804	$339.58	$40.37	+13.5%
Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026	Anthropic	524	0.640	$335.39	$-15.60	-4.4%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	332	0.969	$321.75	$21.75	+7.3%
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?	Yes	397	0.785	$311.89	$11.89	+4.0%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	Yes	370	0.835	$309.26	$9.26	+3.1%
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	366	0.825	$301.83	$1.83	+0.6%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	No	462	0.650	$300.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	No	264	0.954	$251.80	$6.73	+2.7%
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31?	No	216	0.905	$195.12	$15.12	+8.4%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	313	0.570	$178.38	$-21.62	-10.8%
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	291	0.523	$152.23	$-47.77	-23.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	No	140	0.986	$137.96	$17.57	+14.6%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	Yes	30	0.745	$22.35	$0.75	+3.5%