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Trader leaderboard/0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b97-1761944125351

0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b97-1761944125351

0xce835747e39bf987de4c04052b1677e6633e5b97
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$203
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$551
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
37W / 14L · 22 open
Win Return (30d)
81%
59W / 14L
Trades (30d)
73
across 15 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$18.48
avg win $263 · loss $410
Profit Factor
1.12
$1,843 won / $1,639 lost
Reward / Risk
0.64
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $23,767 · all-time $495,588

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 75.7% 140W/45L 80 $144,371
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 12 $25,287
💵 Economy 83.3% 5W/1L 6 $24,662
₿ Crypto 100.0% 5W/0L 6 $7,850
⚽ Sports 100.0% 2W/0L 5 $3,549
🎬 Culture 1 $2,631

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? No 4,971 0.885 $4,399.10 $298.14 +7.3%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 3,999 0.590 $2,359.32 $-271.36 -10.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? No 1,698 0.935 $1,588.01 $20.46 +1.3%
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 2,575 0.575 $1,480.70 $-104.53 -6.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? No 1,317 0.975 $1,284.51 $179.52 +16.2%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 605 0.955 $577.45 $77.45 +15.5%
Will Solana dip to $60 in August? No 500 0.880 $440.00 $40.00 +10.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? No 371 0.962 $356.31 $56.31 +18.8%
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? Yes 500 0.700 $350.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026 Anthropic 524 0.665 $348.49 $-2.50 -0.7%
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? Yes 422 0.804 $339.58 $40.37 +13.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 332 0.973 $322.91 $22.91 +7.6%
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? Yes 397 0.785 $311.89 $11.89 +4.0%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? Yes 370 0.835 $309.26 $9.26 +3.1%
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? Yes 366 0.825 $301.83 $1.83 +0.6%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? No 462 0.650 $300.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? No 264 0.955 $252.20 $7.13 +2.9%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 313 0.725 $226.93 $26.93 +13.5%
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31? No 216 0.905 $195.12 $15.12 +8.4%
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? Yes 291 0.508 $147.84 $-52.16 -26.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? No 140 0.985 $137.82 $17.43 +14.5%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? Yes 30 0.745 $22.35 $0.75 +3.5%