0xcE0cEEb1D84A95e60A4a28Ea19eD3EfB58092945-1767950962360
0xce0ceeb1d84a95e60a4a28ea19ed3efb58092945
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$27
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$46
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+14.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
1W / 1L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
86%
6W / 1L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
9
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$13.52
avg win $28 · loss $1
Profit Factor
35.73
$28 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
35.73
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,294 · all-time $573,842
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
88 |
0.724 |
$63.67 |
$9.67 |
+17.9% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
116 |
0.515 |
$59.88 |
$9.88 |
+19.8% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
40 |
0.930 |
$37.20 |
$7.20 |
+24.0% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
No |
62 |
0.430 |
$26.88 |
$6.88 |
+34.4% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
1,646 |
0.013 |
$22.22 |
$1.13 |
+5.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
100 |
0.220 |
$22.04 |
$-43.96 |
-66.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
34 |
0.545 |
$18.72 |
$-6.01 |
-24.3% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
Yes |
27 |
0.125 |
$3.38 |
$-6.62 |
-66.2% |