0xcE0cEEb1D84A95e60A4a28Ea19eD3EfB58092945-1767950962360
0xce0ceeb1d84a95e60a4a28ea19ed3efb58092945
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$57
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+37.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
71%
5W / 2L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
5W / 3L
Trades (30d)
8
across 5 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$14.36
avg win $21 · loss $4
Profit Factor
14.14
$62 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
4.71
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$30
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,294 · all-time $573,842
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
88 |
0.757 |
$66.65 |
$12.65 |
+23.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
116 |
0.525 |
$61.05 |
$11.05 |
+22.1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
40 |
0.940 |
$37.60 |
$7.60 |
+25.3% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
No |
62 |
0.440 |
$27.50 |
$7.50 |
+37.5% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
1,646 |
0.013 |
$22.22 |
$1.13 |
+5.4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
34 |
0.545 |
$18.72 |
$-6.01 |
-24.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
100 |
0.170 |
$17.03 |
$-48.97 |
-74.2% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
Yes |
27 |
0.130 |
$3.51 |
$-6.49 |
-64.9% |