| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
100,000 |
0.845 |
$84,499.83 |
$11,634.78 |
+16.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
67,664 |
0.865 |
$58,529.51 |
$-36.34 |
-0.1% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
56,503 |
0.945 |
$53,394.96 |
$10,951.96 |
+25.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
75,000 |
0.675 |
$50,624.97 |
$3,749.32 |
+8.0% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
23,509 |
0.685 |
$16,103.35 |
$720.80 |
+4.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
17,429 |
0.905 |
$15,773.06 |
$2,217.59 |
+16.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
15,000 |
0.973 |
$14,587.50 |
$587.59 |
+4.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
16,381 |
0.745 |
$12,203.59 |
$4,370.85 |
+55.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
12,987 |
0.920 |
$11,947.62 |
$721.35 |
+6.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
15,507 |
0.635 |
$9,846.70 |
$3,056.31 |
+45.0% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10,000 |
0.983 |
$9,825.00 |
$15.00 |
+0.2% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
No |
10,784 |
0.905 |
$9,759.34 |
$1,672.89 |
+20.7% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
15,000 |
0.610 |
$9,150.00 |
$1,750.14 |
+23.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
10,560 |
0.865 |
$9,134.62 |
$419.68 |
+4.8% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
9,321 |
0.926 |
$8,631.31 |
$1,016.06 |
+13.3% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
7,097 |
0.905 |
$6,422.63 |
$2,572.00 |
+66.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
6,573 |
0.865 |
$5,685.91 |
$361.54 |
+6.8% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.875 |
$4,375.00 |
$-125.00 |
-2.8% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
4,308 |
1.000 |
$4,305.57 |
$428.62 |
+11.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
3,954 |
1.000 |
$3,951.68 |
$127.87 |
+3.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
8,559 |
0.385 |
$3,295.06 |
$2,439.20 |
+285.0% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,160 |
0.905 |
$2,859.76 |
$15.80 |
+0.6% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher? |
No |
2,757 |
0.986 |
$2,718.48 |
$45.56 |
+1.7% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,507 |
0.989 |
$1,490.68 |
$18.09 |
+1.2% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? |
No |
1,207 |
0.945 |
$1,140.27 |
$6.03 |
+0.5% |