| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
100,000 |
0.845 |
$84,499.83 |
$11,634.78 |
+16.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
67,664 |
0.875 |
$59,206.15 |
$640.31 |
+1.1% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
56,503 |
0.945 |
$53,394.96 |
$10,951.96 |
+25.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
75,000 |
0.675 |
$50,624.97 |
$3,749.32 |
+8.0% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
23,509 |
0.680 |
$15,985.80 |
$603.25 |
+3.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
17,429 |
0.905 |
$15,773.06 |
$2,217.59 |
+16.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
15,000 |
0.969 |
$14,535.00 |
$535.09 |
+3.8% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
16,381 |
0.745 |
$12,203.59 |
$4,370.85 |
+55.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
12,987 |
0.920 |
$11,947.62 |
$721.35 |
+6.4% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10,000 |
0.982 |
$9,820.00 |
$10.00 |
+0.1% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
No |
10,784 |
0.905 |
$9,759.34 |
$1,672.89 |
+20.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
15,507 |
0.590 |
$9,148.91 |
$2,358.51 |
+34.7% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
15,000 |
0.605 |
$9,075.00 |
$1,675.14 |
+22.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
10,560 |
0.840 |
$8,870.62 |
$155.67 |
+1.8% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
9,321 |
0.921 |
$8,584.70 |
$969.46 |
+12.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
7,097 |
0.925 |
$6,564.57 |
$2,713.94 |
+70.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
6,573 |
0.865 |
$5,685.91 |
$361.54 |
+6.8% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.875 |
$4,375.00 |
$-125.00 |
-2.8% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
4,308 |
0.960 |
$4,133.26 |
$256.31 |
+6.6% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
3,954 |
0.997 |
$3,939.82 |
$116.01 |
+3.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
8,559 |
0.375 |
$3,209.47 |
$2,353.61 |
+275.0% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher? |
No |
2,757 |
0.980 |
$2,701.94 |
$29.02 |
+1.1% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,507 |
0.988 |
$1,488.42 |
$15.83 |
+1.1% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? |
No |
1,207 |
0.945 |
$1,140.27 |
$6.03 |
+0.5% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
1,106 |
0.996 |
$1,101.58 |
$51.10 |
+4.9% |