| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
29,258 |
0.785 |
$22,967.44 |
$11,890.11 |
+107.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
7,789 |
0.835 |
$6,503.63 |
$38.09 |
+0.6% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
10,432 |
0.539 |
$5,627.91 |
$3,647.92 |
+184.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
Yes |
9,256 |
0.470 |
$4,350.35 |
$-923.38 |
-17.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
8,620 |
0.405 |
$3,491.27 |
$-599.57 |
-14.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
2,282 |
0.695 |
$1,585.44 |
$-11.63 |
-0.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
2,229 |
0.536 |
$1,194.81 |
$194.81 |
+19.5% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
1,654 |
0.625 |
$1,033.56 |
$33.79 |
+3.4% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
Yes |
2,852 |
0.355 |
$1,012.41 |
$12.41 |
+1.2% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
10,288 |
0.034 |
$344.63 |
$-4,235.37 |
-92.5% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
No |
175 |
0.760 |
$133.33 |
$33.33 |
+33.3% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
349 |
0.254 |
$88.52 |
$-11.48 |
-11.5% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,902 |
0.018 |
$88.24 |
$-11.76 |
-11.8% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
79 |
0.805 |
$63.75 |
$13.75 |
+27.5% |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? |
No |
63 |
0.920 |
$57.66 |
$7.66 |
+15.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
405 |
0.095 |
$38.48 |
$-58.77 |
-60.4% |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
67 |
0.390 |
$26.31 |
$-5.69 |
-17.8% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? |
No |
28 |
0.870 |
$24.47 |
$4.47 |
+22.3% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
50 |
0.285 |
$14.24 |
$-3.25 |
-18.6% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
401 |
0.032 |
$12.63 |
$-37.37 |
-74.7% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
136 |
0.090 |
$12.20 |
$-39.60 |
-76.4% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.905 |
$6.46 |
$1.46 |
+29.3% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.920 |
$4.60 |
$0.35 |
+8.2% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.895 |
$4.47 |
$0.47 |
+11.9% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
Yes |
29 |
0.140 |
$4.06 |
$0.57 |
+16.2% |