| Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
272 |
0.595 |
$161.72 |
$-3.08 |
-1.9% |
| Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by August 15? |
No |
220 |
0.580 |
$127.32 |
$45.23 |
+55.1% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? |
No |
214 |
0.590 |
$126.50 |
$2.31 |
+1.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? |
No |
300 |
0.375 |
$112.50 |
$-7.50 |
-6.2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
146 |
0.750 |
$109.66 |
$18.73 |
+20.6% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
120 |
0.850 |
$102.00 |
$-1.20 |
-1.2% |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
53 |
0.705 |
$37.30 |
$-10.01 |
-21.2% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? |
No |
39 |
0.958 |
$37.01 |
$3.00 |
+8.8% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? |
No |
51 |
0.565 |
$28.90 |
$-8.44 |
-22.6% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.090 |
$26.96 |
$3.57 |
+15.3% |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
80 |
0.310 |
$24.80 |
$-18.40 |
-42.6% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
24 |
0.910 |
$21.39 |
$-0.23 |
-1.1% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.946 |
$18.91 |
$1.31 |
+7.4% |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
21 |
0.775 |
$16.27 |
$-0.53 |
-3.1% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.079 |
$15.69 |
$2.74 |
+21.1% |
| Will Moonshot be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
419 |
0.028 |
$11.74 |
$9.22 |
+366.7% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.470 |
$9.40 |
$0.40 |
+4.4% |
| Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
21 |
0.276 |
$5.71 |
$1.60 |
+38.8% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.270 |
$3.97 |
$-0.58 |
-12.8% |