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Trader leaderboard/0xcAF59289145789242A4Af6b975997344229841ab-1772187322857

0xcAF59289145789242A4Af6b975997344229841ab-1772187322857

0xcaf59289145789242a4af6b975997344229841ab
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$9
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-35.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
2W / 1L
Win Return (30d)
67%
2W / 1L
Trades (30d)
3
across 2 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$4.50
avg win $2 · loss $11
Profit Factor
0.21
$2 won / $11 lost
Reward / Risk
0.21
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,648 · all-time $196,656

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.0% 847W/1,381L 741 $14,526
🌤 Weather 34.9% 52W/97L 45 $1,004
🏛 Politics 21.4% 3W/11L 14 $229
🎬 Culture 27.3% 3W/8L 11 $184
💵 Economy 60.0% 3W/2L 3 $71
🤖 Tech 100.0% 2W/0L 1 $30

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 67 0.340 $22.67 $8.00 +54.5%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 20 0.935 $18.95 $6.59 +53.3%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No 20 0.890 $17.69 $5.37 +43.5%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5? Yes 33 0.525 $17.32 $2.80 +19.3%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by August 31, 2026? Yes 127 0.135 $17.18 $3.18 +22.7%
Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 61 0.260 $15.83 $1.83 +13.0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by August 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.385 $15.40 $1.40 +10.0%
Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 22 0.700 $15.31 $1.31 +9.4%
Will Rogério Marinho be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro? No 16 0.945 $15.03 $1.03 +7.4%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 17 0.790 $13.65 $-0.52 -3.7%
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 21 0.605 $12.83 $-1.38 -9.7%
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 28 0.390 $10.92 $-3.08 -22.0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5? No 16 0.620 $10.13 $0.65 +6.9%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 10 0.860 $8.60 $2.00 +30.3%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 22 0.356 $7.77 $5.16 +197.1%
Will "Earthquake" or "Quake" be in the headlines this week? Yes 30 0.200 $6.00 $-1.80 -23.1%
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes 47 0.110 $5.19 $-2.36 -31.2%
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 11 0.415 $4.73 $0.06 +1.2%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 26 0.170 $4.37 $1.03 +30.8%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes 40 0.075 $2.99 $-3.39 -53.1%
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 4 0.455 $1.76 $0.14 +8.3%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5? Yes 158 0.001 $0.08 $-4.65 -98.3%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? No 15 0.001 $0.01 $-5.24 -99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? No 10 0.001 $0.01 $-3.40 -99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? Yes 4 0.001 $0.00 $-0.71 -99.7%