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Trader leaderboard/0xcAF59289145789242A4Af6b975997344229841ab-1772187322857

0xcAF59289145789242A4Af6b975997344229841ab-1772187322857

0xcaf59289145789242a4af6b975997344229841ab
PnL (30d)
+$403
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$32
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
847W / 1,381L · 58 open
Win Return (30d)
38%
868W / 1,398L · 20 open
Trades (30d)
2,286
across 732 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.57
avg win $13 · loss $8
Profit Factor
1.12
$3,661 won / $3,258 lost
Reward / Risk
1.75
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$214
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,590 · all-time $195,390

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.0% 847W/1,381L 732 $14,209
🌤 Weather 35.5% 54W/98L 45 $948
🏛 Politics 43.8% 14W/18L 21 $470
🎬 Culture 48.3% 14W/15L 18 $424
💵 Economy 60.0% 3W/2L 3 $71
🤖 Tech 100.0% 2W/0L 1 $30

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 67 0.430 $28.67 $14.00 +95.5%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 20 0.940 $19.05 $6.69 +54.1%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No 20 0.895 $17.79 $5.47 +44.4%
Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 61 0.280 $17.05 $3.04 +21.7%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by August 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.410 $16.40 $2.40 +17.1%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by August 31, 2026? Yes 127 0.125 $15.91 $1.91 +13.6%
Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 22 0.710 $15.53 $1.53 +10.9%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 17 0.805 $13.91 $-0.26 -1.8%
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 21 0.600 $12.73 $-1.48 -10.4%
Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 28 0.440 $12.32 $-1.68 -12.0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 10 0.890 $8.90 $2.30 +34.8%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 22 0.356 $7.77 $5.16 +197.1%
Will "Earthquake" or "Quake" be in the headlines this week? Yes 30 0.235 $7.05 $-0.75 -9.6%
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes 47 0.120 $5.66 $-1.89 -25.0%
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 11 0.405 $4.61 $-0.06 -1.2%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 26 0.135 $3.47 $0.13 +3.8%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes 40 0.070 $2.79 $-3.59 -56.3%
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 4 0.470 $1.82 $0.19 +11.9%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5? Yes 158 0.001 $0.08 $-4.65 -98.3%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? No 15 0.001 $0.01 $-5.24 -99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? No 10 0.001 $0.01 $-3.40 -99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? Yes 4 0.001 $0.00 $-0.71 -99.7%