| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
16,239 |
0.995 |
$16,149.38 |
$204.06 |
+1.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
17,000 |
0.926 |
$15,750.81 |
$354.00 |
+2.3% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
15,602 |
0.985 |
$15,360.18 |
$207.83 |
+1.4% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
16,000 |
0.925 |
$14,800.02 |
$696.85 |
+4.9% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
14,938 |
0.974 |
$14,549.16 |
$61.35 |
+0.4% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
No |
13,826 |
0.929 |
$12,851.22 |
$94.38 |
+0.7% |
| New pandemic in 2026? |
No |
11,654 |
0.935 |
$10,896.23 |
$700.83 |
+6.9% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
16,001 |
0.625 |
$10,000.88 |
$-30.50 |
-0.3% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
10,000 |
0.935 |
$9,350.40 |
$289.71 |
+3.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
14,000 |
0.620 |
$8,680.00 |
$-1,091.16 |
-11.2% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
8,098 |
0.977 |
$7,907.76 |
$89.18 |
+1.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
7,126 |
0.986 |
$7,022.99 |
$-5.92 |
-0.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
7,000 |
0.981 |
$6,863.51 |
$192.40 |
+2.9% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? |
No |
7,060 |
0.952 |
$6,717.59 |
$211.26 |
+3.2% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
No |
12,297 |
0.515 |
$6,332.94 |
$269.51 |
+4.4% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6,775 |
0.915 |
$6,199.26 |
$103.92 |
+1.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
7,000 |
0.875 |
$6,124.99 |
$86.76 |
+1.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
5,589 |
0.985 |
$5,505.28 |
$0.60 |
+0.0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? |
No |
3,941 |
0.915 |
$3,606.40 |
$1,714.44 |
+90.6% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
3,498 |
0.993 |
$3,473.54 |
$59.47 |
+1.7% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? |
No |
3,182 |
0.994 |
$3,162.89 |
$151.40 |
+5.0% |
| Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? |
No |
3,262 |
0.925 |
$3,017.56 |
$138.53 |
+4.8% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3,037 |
0.975 |
$2,959.76 |
$40.01 |
+1.4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? |
No |
3,000 |
0.966 |
$2,898.00 |
$28.00 |
+1.0% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.935 |
$2,804.99 |
$135.00 |
+5.1% |