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Trader leaderboard/NellyDora

NellyDora

0xca972cdf160266af59af5ad84d0577cb3ac75409
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$114
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$128
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
164W / 90L · 251 open
Win Return (30d)
77%
387W / 118L
Trades (30d)
505
across 28 markets · ~18 per market
EV / position
−$5.98
avg win $25 · loss $59
Profit Factor
0.73
$301 won / $415 lost
Reward / Risk
0.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$368
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,690 · all-time $995,657

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.9% 618W/230L 121 $42,258
🏛 Politics 1.4% 1W/71L 10 $5,493
💵 Economy 3 $144
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/50L 3 $878
₿ Crypto 3 $358

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2,159 0.835 $1,802.65 $166.91 +10.2%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 439 0.978 $428.82 $0.73 +0.2%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 649 0.625 $405.90 $-66.78 -14.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? No 389 0.715 $278.02 $-12.72 -4.4%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 123 0.955 $117.41 $2.60 +2.3%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 106 0.949 $100.36 $5.58 +5.9%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? No 100 0.991 $99.10 $1.20 +1.2%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 381 0.245 $93.34 $-24.76 -21.0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 138 0.675 $93.26 $-6.22 -6.2%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No 150 0.520 $78.03 $-3.50 -4.3%
Trump goes to space in 2026? No 63 0.984 $62.41 $1.36 +2.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 381 0.155 $58.98 $8.25 +16.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? Yes 461 0.125 $57.60 $-8.69 -13.1%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 45 0.905 $40.95 $-0.68 -1.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 60 0.625 $37.50 $5.10 +15.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 80 0.426 $34.08 $-3.52 -9.4%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? Yes 55 0.600 $33.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No 33 0.974 $32.38 $2.22 +7.4%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 3,056 0.009 $25.97 $-1.53 -5.6%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 218 0.117 $25.44 $-6.85 -21.2%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes 89 0.275 $24.38 $-3.54 -12.7%
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? No 25 0.750 $18.89 $3.53 +23.0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 19 0.945 $18.03 $4.87 +37.0%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 16 0.966 $15.66 $0.65 +4.3%
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes 50 0.235 $11.75 $2.25 +23.7%