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Trader leaderboard/NellyDora

NellyDora

0xca972cdf160266af59af5ad84d0577cb3ac75409
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$97
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
95W / 60L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
95W / 62L
Trades (30d)
157
across 14 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
−$7.49
avg win $22 · loss $74
Profit Factor
0.67
$197 won / $294 lost
Reward / Risk
0.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$236
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,690 · all-time $995,657

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.9% 618W/230L 121 $42,258
🏛 Politics 1.4% 1W/71L 10 $5,493
💵 Economy 3 $144
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/50L 3 $878
₿ Crypto 3 $358

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2,159 0.835 $1,802.65 $166.91 +10.2%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 439 0.978 $428.82 $0.73 +0.2%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 649 0.625 $405.90 $-66.78 -14.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? No 389 0.735 $285.80 $-4.94 -1.7%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 123 0.955 $117.41 $2.60 +2.3%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 106 0.948 $100.31 $5.53 +5.8%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? No 100 0.991 $99.10 $1.20 +1.2%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 381 0.245 $93.34 $-24.76 -21.0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 138 0.675 $93.26 $-6.22 -6.2%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No 150 0.525 $78.78 $-2.75 -3.4%
Trump goes to space in 2026? No 63 0.984 $62.41 $1.36 +2.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 381 0.155 $58.98 $8.25 +16.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? Yes 461 0.125 $57.60 $-8.69 -13.1%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 45 0.905 $40.95 $-0.68 -1.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 80 0.479 $38.32 $0.72 +1.9%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 60 0.620 $37.20 $4.80 +14.8%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? Yes 55 0.615 $33.83 $0.82 +2.5%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No 33 0.974 $32.38 $2.22 +7.4%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 3,056 0.009 $25.97 $-1.53 -5.6%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 218 0.117 $25.44 $-6.85 -21.2%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes 89 0.275 $24.38 $-3.54 -12.7%
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? No 25 0.745 $18.77 $3.40 +22.1%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 19 0.945 $18.03 $4.87 +37.0%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 16 0.966 $15.66 $0.65 +4.3%
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes 50 0.235 $11.75 $2.25 +23.7%