| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
112 |
0.460 |
$51.55 |
$8.26 |
+19.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
104 |
0.245 |
$25.55 |
$-1.06 |
-4.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.835 |
$17.08 |
$2.10 |
+14.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.963 |
$12.54 |
$0.03 |
+0.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
9 |
0.785 |
$6.82 |
$3.70 |
+118.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.455 |
$6.80 |
$2.65 |
+63.9% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.957 |
$6.63 |
$0.91 |
+15.9% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.989 |
$6.13 |
$0.66 |
+12.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
24 |
0.215 |
$5.06 |
$-16.34 |
-76.4% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
11 |
0.445 |
$4.81 |
$-0.70 |
-12.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
60 |
0.070 |
$4.21 |
$-6.23 |
-59.7% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.685 |
$3.49 |
$0.18 |
+5.5% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
5 |
0.606 |
$3.12 |
$1.12 |
+56.0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
3 |
0.966 |
$3.09 |
$-0.01 |
-0.4% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.930 |
$3.06 |
$1.06 |
+53.2% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
Yes |
3 |
0.795 |
$2.75 |
$-0.25 |
-8.4% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.905 |
$2.60 |
$0.60 |
+30.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
5 |
0.445 |
$2.40 |
$-0.32 |
-11.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
4 |
0.555 |
$2.07 |
$0.07 |
+3.7% |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.135 |
$1.93 |
$0.93 |
+92.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.130 |
$1.90 |
$-1.60 |
-45.7% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? |
Yes |
4 |
0.435 |
$1.58 |
$-0.42 |
-20.8% |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.905 |
$1.56 |
$0.04 |
+2.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.935 |
$1.48 |
$0.48 |
+48.4% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
7 |
0.210 |
$1.42 |
$-2.42 |
-63.0% |