| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
112 |
0.460 |
$51.55 |
$8.26 |
+19.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
104 |
0.245 |
$25.55 |
$-1.06 |
-4.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.845 |
$17.29 |
$2.31 |
+15.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.962 |
$12.54 |
$0.03 |
+0.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
9 |
0.830 |
$7.21 |
$4.09 |
+131.1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.455 |
$6.80 |
$2.65 |
+63.9% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.957 |
$6.63 |
$0.91 |
+15.9% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.990 |
$6.13 |
$0.66 |
+12.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
11 |
0.445 |
$4.81 |
$-0.70 |
-12.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
60 |
0.080 |
$4.81 |
$-5.63 |
-54.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
24 |
0.170 |
$4.00 |
$-17.40 |
-81.3% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.685 |
$3.49 |
$0.18 |
+5.5% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
5 |
0.606 |
$3.12 |
$1.12 |
+56.0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
3 |
0.966 |
$3.09 |
$-0.01 |
-0.4% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.930 |
$3.06 |
$1.06 |
+53.2% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
Yes |
3 |
0.798 |
$2.76 |
$-0.24 |
-8.1% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.910 |
$2.62 |
$0.62 |
+30.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
5 |
0.445 |
$2.40 |
$-0.32 |
-11.8% |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.165 |
$2.36 |
$1.36 |
+135.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
4 |
0.555 |
$2.07 |
$0.07 |
+3.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.135 |
$1.97 |
$-1.53 |
-43.6% |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.905 |
$1.56 |
$0.04 |
+2.8% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? |
Yes |
4 |
0.420 |
$1.53 |
$-0.47 |
-23.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.935 |
$1.48 |
$0.48 |
+48.4% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
7 |
0.210 |
$1.42 |
$-2.42 |
-63.0% |