armadanoob
0xca41cc2951ff7d9417562b447d87755dfe273af9
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$7
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-12.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
29%
12W / 29L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
29%
12W / 29L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
43
across 37 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.20
avg win $3 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.79
$26 won / $33 lost
Reward / Risk
2.28
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $150 · all-time $714,987
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? |
Yes |
150 |
0.051 |
$7.64 |
$5.84 |
+324.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.075 |
$7.50 |
$-2.00 |
-21.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
40 |
0.145 |
$5.80 |
$-4.20 |
-42.0% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.255 |
$0.75 |
$-0.25 |
-25.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
23 |
0.024 |
$0.54 |
$-0.46 |
-45.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.040 |
$0.40 |
$-0.60 |
-60.5% |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.115 |
$0.34 |
$-0.66 |
-66.2% |