mr.fig
0xca165e655b0506ee83678157ea12bf62a450f878
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$655
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$147
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+30.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
92%
34W / 3L · 34 open
Win Return (30d)
83%
59W / 12L
Trades (30d)
71
across 8 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$130.91
avg win $178 · loss $58
Profit Factor
12.20
$713 won / $58 lost
Reward / Risk
3.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,858 · all-time $546,377
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
42.9%
270W/360L
|
53 |
$30,907 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
100.0%
6W/0L
|
3 |
$782 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
1,100 |
0.910 |
$1,001.00 |
$414.54 |
+70.7% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? |
Yes |
725 |
0.785 |
$569.11 |
$37.43 |
+7.0% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
300 |
0.715 |
$214.16 |
$120.19 |
+127.9% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
No |
890 |
0.190 |
$169.19 |
$4.22 |
+2.6% |
| James Comey charges dropped by December 31? |
No |
136 |
0.380 |
$51.68 |
$-15.05 |
-22.6% |
| Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026? |
No |
18 |
0.965 |
$17.50 |
$4.80 |
+37.8% |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.024 |
$2.35 |
$-9.65 |
-80.4% |