PnL (30d)

+$1,959

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$852

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+11.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

43%

270W / 360L · 74 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

329W / 372L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

704

across 53 markets · ~13 per market

EV / position

+$44.52

avg win $124 · loss $110

Profit Factor

2.19

$3,603 won / $1,644 lost

Reward / Risk

1.13

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	42.9% 270W/360L	53	$30,907
🏛 Politics	100.0% 6W/0L	3	$782

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	1,100	0.935	$1,028.50	$442.04	+75.4%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?	Yes	725	0.795	$576.36	$44.68	+8.4%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	300	0.715	$214.16	$120.19	+127.9%
James Comey charges dropped by December 31?	No	136	0.395	$53.72	$-13.01	-19.5%
Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?	No	18	0.965	$17.50	$4.80	+37.8%
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	100	0.024	$2.35	$-9.65	-80.4%