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Trader leaderboard/chaosj88

chaosj88

0xca12d28728c46d3484395243f5f842f2c321ea03
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$77
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
98%
266W / 5L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
98%
270W / 5L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
280
across 220 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.36
avg win $0 · loss $49
Profit Factor
0.48
$70 won / $148 lost
Reward / Risk
0.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,579 · all-time $917,563

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 94.1% 716W/45L 553 $61,266
⚽ Sports 100.0% 133W/0L 94 $4,888
🎬 Culture 38.1% 8W/13L 15 $1,243
🤖 Tech 100.0% 20W/0L 12 $1,359
💵 Economy 4 $208
₿ Crypto 1 $187

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

42 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 13,000 0.540 $7,026.50 $526.50 +8.1%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 13,000 0.460 $5,973.50 $-526.50 -8.1%
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? No 325 0.765 $248.64 $16.69 +7.2%
Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026? No 332 0.735 $243.75 $30.90 +14.5%
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? Yes 202 0.950 $191.90 $28.28 +17.3%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 US song this week? No 195 0.946 $184.47 $28.47 +18.2%
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 120m by August 31? No 96 0.981 $93.78 $3.50 +3.9%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026? Yes 105 0.750 $78.88 $11.78 +17.5%
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? Yes 143 0.322 $45.95 $42.17 +1115.3%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? No 40 0.970 $38.79 $3.20 +9.0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? No 50 0.775 $38.75 $-4.75 -10.9%
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? Yes 50 0.570 $28.50 $22.50 +374.9%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? Yes 40 0.605 $24.20 $5.94 +32.6%
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes 44 0.531 $23.16 $21.85 +1670.0%
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31? No 15 0.984 $14.75 $0.95 +6.9%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026? Yes 22 0.555 $12.10 $2.29 +23.3%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? Yes 20 0.480 $9.60 $0.60 +6.7%
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? No 12 0.750 $8.77 $3.08 +54.0%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026? Yes 41 0.215 $8.75 $1.83 +26.5%
Will "Petal - Ariana Grande" be the #2 song this week? Yes 9 0.480 $4.28 $0.36 +9.1%
Will MrBeast hit 138 billion views by August 31? Yes 5 0.840 $4.20 $3.20 +320.0%
Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? No 5 0.625 $3.12 $1.98 +171.7%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in August? No 1 0.985 $1.38 $0.12 +9.4%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? Yes 5 0.270 $1.35 $1.19 +764.0%
Will Bruno Mars be the third most streamed artist for 2026? Yes 115 0.003 $0.34 $-6.17 -94.7%