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Trader leaderboard/chaosj88

chaosj88

0xca12d28728c46d3484395243f5f842f2c321ea03
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$190
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$16
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
87%
168W / 25L · 15 open
Win Return (30d)
86%
178W / 28L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
208
across 116 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.78
avg win $3 · loss $21
Profit Factor
2.80
$296 won / $106 lost
Reward / Risk
0.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,494 · all-time $917,538

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 94.1% 716W/45L 550 $61,154
⚽ Sports 100.0% 133W/0L 93 $4,803
🎬 Culture 38.1% 8W/13L 14 $1,241
🤖 Tech 100.0% 20W/0L 10 $1,332
💵 Economy 3 $197
₿ Crypto 1 $187

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

41 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 13,000 0.540 $7,026.50 $526.50 +8.1%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 13,000 0.460 $5,973.50 $-526.50 -8.1%
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? No 325 0.765 $248.64 $16.69 +7.2%
Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026? No 332 0.735 $243.75 $30.90 +14.5%
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? Yes 202 0.950 $191.90 $28.28 +17.3%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 US song this week? No 195 0.946 $184.37 $28.37 +18.2%
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 120m by August 31? No 96 0.980 $93.64 $3.36 +3.7%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026? Yes 124 0.640 $79.62 $0.24 +0.3%
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? Yes 143 0.323 $46.09 $42.31 +1119.0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? No 50 0.830 $41.50 $-2.00 -4.6%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? No 40 0.970 $38.77 $3.18 +8.9%
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? Yes 50 0.555 $27.75 $21.75 +362.5%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? Yes 40 0.605 $24.20 $5.94 +32.6%
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes 44 0.528 $23.05 $21.74 +1661.7%
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31? No 15 0.961 $14.41 $0.61 +4.5%
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? No 12 0.745 $8.71 $3.02 +53.0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? Yes 20 0.430 $8.60 $-0.40 -4.4%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026? Yes 22 0.365 $7.96 $-1.85 -18.9%
Will "Petal - Ariana Grande" be the #2 song this week? Yes 9 0.480 $4.28 $0.36 +9.1%
Will MrBeast hit 138 billion views by August 31? Yes 5 0.840 $4.20 $3.20 +320.0%
Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? No 5 0.630 $3.15 $2.00 +173.9%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in August? No 1 0.981 $1.37 $0.11 +9.0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? Yes 5 0.210 $1.05 $0.89 +572.0%
Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? Yes 5 0.080 $0.40 $0.24 +156.0%
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? Yes 5 0.076 $0.38 $0.22 +143.2%