PnL (30d)

+$10,736

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$249

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+4.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

99%

294W / 2L · 4 open

Win Return (30d)

98%

294W / 6L

Trades (30d)

300

across 18 markets · ~17 per market

EV / position

+$631.52

avg win $761 · loss $339

Profit Factor

16.84

$11,413 won / $678 lost

Reward / Risk

2.25

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$580

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	89.5% 1,416W/167L	120	$866,643
🏛 Politics	94.4% 17W/1L	3	$18,681
🎬 Culture	100.0% 14W/0L	1	$5,879
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$185

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	318,660	0.595	$189,602.54	$30,272.67	+19.0%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	318,660	0.405	$129,057.19	$-30,272.67	-19.0%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	15,038	0.538	$8,097.79	$1,977.97	+32.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	8,980	0.235	$2,110.19	$-917.08	-30.3%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	8,629	0.110	$949.19	$-1,496.49	-61.2%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	1,926	0.305	$588.44	$-248.60	-29.7%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	Yes	8,062	0.070	$564.37	$-947.49	-62.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	9,914	0.055	$545.26	$-906.77	-62.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	No	254	0.105	$26.72	$-39.44	-59.6%
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	Yes	213	0.060	$12.78	$-75.32	-85.5%