PnL (30d)

+$6,386

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$5,182

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

89%

1,416W / 167L · 396 open

Win Return (30d)

75%

1,484W / 495L

Trades (30d)

1,979

across 120 markets · ~16 per market

EV / position

+$59.13

avg win $290 · loss $1,022

Profit Factor

1.33

$25,800 won / $19,413 lost

Reward / Risk

0.28

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2,026

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	89.5% 1,416W/167L	120	$866,643
🏛 Politics	94.4% 17W/1L	3	$18,681
🎬 Culture	100.0% 14W/0L	1	$5,879
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$185

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	15,038	0.535	$8,052.68	$1,932.85	+31.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	8,980	0.230	$2,065.29	$-961.98	-31.8%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	8,629	0.110	$949.19	$-1,496.49	-61.2%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	1,926	0.305	$588.44	$-248.60	-29.7%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	Yes	8,062	0.070	$564.37	$-947.49	-62.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	9,914	0.045	$446.12	$-1,005.91	-69.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	No	254	0.095	$24.17	$-41.99	-63.5%
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	Yes	213	0.060	$12.78	$-75.32	-85.5%