| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.835 |
$167.00 |
$16.00 |
+10.6% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
70 |
0.635 |
$44.45 |
$0.60 |
+1.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
50 |
0.785 |
$39.25 |
$3.25 |
+9.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
25 |
0.981 |
$24.51 |
$2.26 |
+10.2% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
Yes |
70 |
0.325 |
$22.75 |
$-1.70 |
-7.0% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
Yes |
95 |
0.210 |
$19.95 |
$-2.60 |
-11.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.165 |
$16.50 |
$0.50 |
+3.1% |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.615 |
$15.38 |
$-0.88 |
-5.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.650 |
$13.00 |
$2.00 |
+18.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
20 |
0.620 |
$12.40 |
$-4.40 |
-26.2% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
Yes |
18 |
0.635 |
$11.29 |
$2.76 |
+32.3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.545 |
$10.90 |
$0.10 |
+0.9% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
10 |
0.735 |
$7.35 |
$0.05 |
+0.7% |
| Will gas hit $3.90 (Low) by August 31? |
Yes |
20 |
0.335 |
$6.70 |
$-2.10 |
-23.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
30 |
0.215 |
$6.45 |
$-5.25 |
-44.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
35 |
0.155 |
$5.42 |
$-4.97 |
-47.8% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.038 |
$3.85 |
$-5.65 |
-59.5% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
Yes |
119 |
0.030 |
$3.63 |
$-4.42 |
-54.9% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
Yes |
80 |
0.036 |
$2.92 |
$-5.68 |
-66.0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.038 |
$1.93 |
$-1.07 |
-35.8% |