| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
No |
109 |
0.710 |
$77.73 |
$-1.63 |
-2.1% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
188 |
0.165 |
$30.96 |
$-21.98 |
-41.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
16 |
0.825 |
$13.20 |
$0.23 |
+1.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
11 |
0.845 |
$9.28 |
$8.05 |
+654.2% |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? |
Yes |
70 |
0.100 |
$7.00 |
$-0.70 |
-9.1% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? |
Yes |
37 |
0.185 |
$6.89 |
$1.67 |
+32.1% |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.505 |
$6.26 |
$-0.06 |
-1.0% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
7 |
0.745 |
$5.12 |
$-0.45 |
-8.0% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? |
No |
10 |
0.489 |
$4.78 |
$0.09 |
+2.0% |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m? |
No |
26 |
0.185 |
$4.73 |
$-2.43 |
-33.9% |
| Will Drew Campbell be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)? |
Yes |
19 |
0.245 |
$4.65 |
$-5.79 |
-55.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 6? |
Yes |
10 |
0.470 |
$4.52 |
$0.19 |
+4.4% |
| Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
12 |
0.389 |
$4.50 |
$-1.05 |
-18.9% |
| Will "Star" be in the headlines this week? |
Yes |
16 |
0.270 |
$4.44 |
$-2.47 |
-35.7% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.964 |
$4.43 |
$0.23 |
+5.5% |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? |
No |
5 |
0.815 |
$4.30 |
$1.05 |
+32.2% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.864 |
$4.25 |
$0.10 |
+2.4% |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? |
No |
10 |
0.440 |
$4.18 |
$-0.14 |
-3.2% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
No |
8 |
0.540 |
$4.14 |
$0.08 |
+1.9% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.835 |
$4.06 |
$0.06 |
+1.4% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.830 |
$4.05 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.890 |
$4.04 |
$0.77 |
+23.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.845 |
$4.03 |
$0.62 |
+18.3% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? |
Yes |
38 |
0.105 |
$4.01 |
$-14.32 |
-78.1% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.785 |
$3.92 |
$0.07 |
+1.9% |