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Trader

0xc8ca4205453705fcb0dd947a311258d6813c0097
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$8
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
28W / 17L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
28W / 17L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
50
across 19 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.50
avg win $2 · loss $0
Profit Factor
4.86
$11 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
6.95
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,111 · all-time $444,478

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 36.0% 611W/1,085L 721 $806
⚽ Sports 9.0% 16W/161L 80 $42
🎬 Culture 25.4% 35W/103L 58 $40
🏛 Politics 34.5% 39W/74L 38 $40
🤖 Tech 17.2% 5W/24L 17 $5
₿ Crypto 65.4% 17W/9L 13 $53
💵 Economy 84.2% 16W/3L 6 $49
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/2L 3 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

48 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
ECS England: Apex CC vs Comilla Warriors (ENG) - Who wins the toss? Comilla Warriors (ENG) 96 0.495 $47.52 $46.56 +4850.0%
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmen - Most Sixes Lahore Qalandars Winner Yes 77 0.485 $37.54 $36.77 +4750.0%
Forfar Athletic FC vs. Brechin City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 56 0.495 $27.71 $27.16 +4850.0%
Forfar Athletic FC vs. Brechin City FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Under 56 0.495 $27.71 $27.16 +4850.0%
Forfar Athletic FC vs. Brechin City FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 56 0.495 $27.71 $27.16 +4850.0%
Forfar Athletic FC vs. Brechin City FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Under 56 0.495 $27.71 $27.16 +4850.0%
Atlante FC vs. CF América: Atlante FC O/U 2.5 Corners Over 56 0.490 $27.44 $26.88 +4800.0%
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmen - Most Sixes Hyderabad Kingsmen Winner Yes 44 0.485 $21.54 $21.09 +4750.0%
Forfar Athletic FC vs. Brechin City FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 33 0.495 $16.31 $15.75 +2813.1%
Will Big Brother episode not air? Yes 23 0.485 $11.18 $10.79 +2752.6%
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmen - Most Sixes Draw Yes 23 0.485 $11.15 $10.88 +3884.2%
Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? Yes 19 0.156 $3.02 $2.80 +1281.1%
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Severe Tropical Storm" at Japan landfall? Yes 19 0.085 $1.59 $1.22 +325.0%
Sparta Rotterdam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 0.5 Under 13 0.121 $1.58 $0.93 +143.0%
Will the Washington Nationals win more than 68.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 68.5 19 0.066 $1.26 $1.20 +2099.9%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win more than 75.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 75.5 20 0.061 $1.21 $0.96 +384.7%
Will the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 86.5 4 0.205 $0.90 $0.85 +1950.0%
Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 74.5 20 0.041 $0.82 $0.42 +105.0%
Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee? No 17 0.033 $0.55 $0.17 +47.3%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 84.5 21 0.025 $0.52 $0.33 +172.1%
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Tropical Storm" at Japan landfall? Yes 12 0.042 $0.48 $0.14 +40.0%
Will Tom Davis be the TN-04 Republican nominee? Yes 25 0.017 $0.42 $0.18 +78.6%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win more than 82.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 82.5 40 0.010 $0.40 $0.32 +399.7%
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? No 6 0.065 $0.37 $-0.03 -7.2%
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes 6 0.051 $0.33 $0.20 +145.1%