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Trader

0xc8ca4205453705fcb0dd947a311258d6813c0097
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$15
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+87.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
34%
48W / 92L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
53W / 97L
Trades (30d)
150
across 47 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.35
avg win $3 · loss $0
Profit Factor
3.14
$21 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
13.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,955 · all-time $444,321

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 36.0% 611W/1,085L 721 $806
⚽ Sports 12.3% 29W/207L 103 $59
🎬 Culture 31.3% 46W/101L 59 $41
🏛 Politics 40.5% 49W/72L 38 $41
🤖 Tech 20.0% 6W/24L 18 $5
₿ Crypto 60.7% 17W/11L 16 $54
💵 Economy 84.2% 16W/3L 6 $49
🌤 Weather 66.7% 4W/2L 4 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

46 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmen - Most Sixes Lahore Qalandars Winner Yes 77 0.485 $37.54 $36.77 +4750.0%
Forfar Athletic FC vs. Brechin City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 56 0.495 $27.71 $27.16 +4850.0%
Forfar Athletic FC vs. Brechin City FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Under 56 0.495 $27.71 $27.16 +4850.0%
Forfar Athletic FC vs. Brechin City FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 56 0.495 $27.71 $27.16 +4850.0%
Forfar Athletic FC vs. Brechin City FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Under 56 0.495 $27.71 $27.16 +4850.0%
Atlante FC vs. CF América: Atlante FC O/U 2.5 Corners Over 56 0.490 $27.44 $26.88 +4800.0%
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmen - Most Sixes Hyderabad Kingsmen Winner Yes 44 0.485 $21.54 $21.09 +4750.0%
Forfar Athletic FC vs. Brechin City FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 33 0.495 $16.31 $15.75 +2813.1%
Will Big Brother episode not air? Yes 23 0.485 $11.18 $10.79 +2752.6%
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmen - Most Sixes Draw Yes 23 0.485 $11.15 $10.88 +3884.2%
Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? Yes 19 0.166 $3.21 $2.99 +1369.6%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 84.5 21 0.093 $2.00 $2.00 +0.0%
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Severe Tropical Storm" at Japan landfall? Yes 19 0.095 $1.78 $1.41 +375.0%
Sparta Rotterdam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 0.5 Under 13 0.120 $1.56 $0.91 +140.0%
Will the Washington Nationals win more than 68.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 68.5 19 0.062 $1.18 $1.13 +1966.4%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win more than 75.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 75.5 20 0.059 $1.16 $0.90 +361.0%
Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 74.5 20 0.049 $0.97 $0.57 +142.5%
Will the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 86.5 4 0.205 $0.90 $0.85 +1950.0%
CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5 Over 9 0.085 $0.75 $0.40 +112.5%
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes 16 0.038 $0.61 $0.29 +90.5%
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? No 6 0.075 $0.43 $0.03 +7.1%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win more than 82.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 82.5 40 0.010 $0.40 $0.32 +399.7%
Will Tom Davis be the TN-04 Republican nominee? Yes 25 0.016 $0.39 $0.16 +68.1%
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Tropical Storm" at Japan landfall? Yes 12 0.029 $0.34 $-0.01 -1.6%
Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Violent Typhoon" at Japan landfall? Yes 2 0.205 $0.31 $0.28 +924.7%