PnL (30d)

−$1

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 1L · 27 open

Win Return (30d)

75%

18W / 6L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

28

across 12 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$1.30

· loss $1

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $1 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	18.2% 2W/9L	19	$860
🏛 Politics	—	5	$13

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	1,900	0.022	$41.80	$-15.83	-27.5%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	150	0.085	$12.75	$-3.93	-23.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	100	0.065	$6.50	$-0.50	-7.1%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	Yes	50	0.095	$4.75	$1.75	+58.3%
NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	50	0.065	$3.25	$-0.25	-7.1%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	20	0.135	$2.70	$0.60	+28.6%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	30	0.075	$2.25	$-1.05	-31.8%
Iran leadership change by August 31?	Yes	100	0.022	$2.20	$-0.33	-13.0%
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	50	0.035	$1.77	$0.10	+6.2%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	20	0.065	$1.30	$0.00	+0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	30	0.020	$0.60	$-0.13	-17.8%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	20	0.024	$0.47	$0.03	+6.8%