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Trader leaderboard/A.D.

A.D.

0xc8b8880b91effc64f4ce9d5869b9767a55a6c770
PnL (30d)
−$22
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
18%
2W / 9L · 86 open
Win Return (30d)
21%
19W / 71L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
97
across 19 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$4.46
avg win $199 · loss $55
Profit Factor
0.90
$199 won / $221 lost
Reward / Risk
3.60
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,030 · all-time $512,628

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 18.2% 2W/9L 19 $859
🏛 Politics 5 $13

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? Yes 1,900 0.015 $29.45 $-28.18 -48.9%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes 150 0.085 $12.75 $-3.93 -23.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 100 0.065 $6.50 $-0.50 -7.1%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? Yes 50 0.095 $4.75 $1.75 +58.3%
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes 50 0.070 $3.50 $0.00 +0.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes 20 0.130 $2.60 $0.50 +23.8%
Iran leadership change by August 31? Yes 100 0.024 $2.40 $-0.13 -5.1%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes 30 0.075 $2.25 $-1.05 -31.8%
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes 50 0.035 $1.77 $0.10 +6.2%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes 20 0.065 $1.30 $0.00 +0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? Yes 30 0.019 $0.58 $-0.14 -19.8%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 20 0.025 $0.50 $0.06 +13.6%