PnL (30d)

−$19,775

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-58.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

7%

20W / 264L

Win Return (30d)

7%

20W / 264L

Trades (30d)

284

across 3 markets · ~95 per market

EV / position

−$6,591.57

avg win $79 · loss $19,933

Profit Factor

0.01

$158 won / $19,933 lost

Reward / Risk

0.00

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	12.0% 75W/550L	22	$692,446
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$353
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$353

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	821,664	0.790	$649,525.39	$238,693.39	+58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	821,664	0.209	$172,138.61	$-238,693.39	-58.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	763,946	0.165	$126,051.13	$42,363.11	+50.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	137,563	0.845	$116,241.04	$82,834.19	+248.0%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	29,125	0.972	$28,294.66	$741.52	+2.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	61,100	0.445	$27,189.67	$9,724.37	+55.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	58,887	0.295	$17,371.67	$6,983.17	+67.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	476,715	0.022	$10,726.09	$344.19	+3.3%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	Yes	1,935	0.110	$212.80	$-340.76	-61.6%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	29	0.740	$21.28	$4.77	+28.9%