PnL (30d)

−$25,167

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$166,258

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

12%

75W / 550L · 703 open

Win Return (30d)

58%

770W / 558L

Trades (30d)

1,328

across 22 markets · ~60 per market

EV / position

−$1,797.65

avg win $2,160 · loss $7,074

Profit Factor

0.41

$17,279 won / $42,446 lost

Reward / Risk

0.31

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4,566

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	12.0% 75W/550L	22	$692,446
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$353
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$353

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	821,664	0.790	$649,525.39	$238,693.39	+58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	821,664	0.209	$172,138.61	$-238,693.39	-58.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	763,946	0.160	$122,231.40	$38,543.38	+46.1%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	142,402	0.785	$111,785.90	$77,203.90	+223.2%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	29,125	0.978	$28,469.41	$916.26	+3.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	55,936	0.469	$26,205.98	$10,609.93	+68.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	58,887	0.305	$17,960.53	$7,572.04	+72.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	476,715	0.033	$15,493.23	$5,111.34	+49.2%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	Yes	1,935	0.100	$193.46	$-360.11	-65.1%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	29	0.735	$21.13	$4.63	+28.0%