PnL (30d)

−$112

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$10

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-31.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

23W / 23L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

23W / 26L

Trades (30d)

49

across 13 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$10.19

avg win $36 · loss $27

Profit Factor

0.49

$107 won / $219 lost

Reward / Risk

1.30

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$78

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	40.7% 79W/115L	65	$3,422
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/5L	4	$102
🏛 Politics	—	1	$44

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	1,350	0.255	$344.25	$55.75	+19.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	400	0.835	$334.00	$26.00	+8.4%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	240	0.745	$178.80	$4.80	+2.8%
Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	176	0.790	$139.03	$86.82	+166.3%
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	148	0.835	$123.58	$0.74	+0.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	No	200	0.365	$73.00	$-19.00	-20.7%
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	88	0.745	$65.61	$3.08	+4.9%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	100	0.580	$58.00	$-3.00	-4.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	430	0.117	$50.07	$-12.50	-20.0%
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	54	0.895	$48.33	$2.43	+5.3%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	800	0.037	$30.00	$8.00	+36.4%
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	300	0.080	$24.00	$3.00	+14.3%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	270	0.085	$22.95	$-112.75	-83.1%
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	Yes	100	0.125	$12.50	$-16.50	-56.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8?	No	100	0.105	$10.50	$-1.50	-12.5%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 8?	No	100	0.095	$9.50	$-1.50	-13.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?	No	100	0.075	$7.50	$-1.50	-16.7%
OpenAI acquired before 2027?	Yes	108	0.041	$4.39	$-5.37	-55.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?	No	100	0.035	$3.54	$-9.46	-72.8%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	100	0.011	$1.15	$-15.05	-92.9%