| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
1,350 |
0.255 |
$344.25 |
$55.75 |
+19.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
400 |
0.835 |
$334.00 |
$26.00 |
+8.4% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
240 |
0.745 |
$178.80 |
$4.80 |
+2.8% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
176 |
0.790 |
$139.03 |
$86.82 |
+166.3% |
| Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
148 |
0.835 |
$123.58 |
$0.74 |
+0.6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? |
No |
200 |
0.335 |
$67.00 |
$-25.00 |
-27.2% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
88 |
0.745 |
$65.61 |
$3.08 |
+4.9% |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.570 |
$56.99 |
$-4.01 |
-6.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
430 |
0.117 |
$50.07 |
$-12.50 |
-20.0% |
| Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
54 |
0.895 |
$48.33 |
$2.43 |
+5.3% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
800 |
0.037 |
$30.00 |
$8.00 |
+36.4% |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
Yes |
300 |
0.080 |
$24.00 |
$3.00 |
+14.3% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
Yes |
270 |
0.085 |
$22.95 |
$-112.75 |
-83.1% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.125 |
$12.50 |
$-16.50 |
-56.9% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 8? |
No |
100 |
0.110 |
$11.00 |
$-1.00 |
-8.3% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 8? |
No |
100 |
0.090 |
$9.00 |
$-2.00 |
-18.2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7? |
No |
100 |
0.085 |
$8.50 |
$-0.50 |
-5.6% |
| OpenAI acquired before 2027? |
Yes |
108 |
0.041 |
$4.39 |
$-5.37 |
-55.0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6? |
No |
100 |
0.036 |
$3.65 |
$-9.35 |
-71.9% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
100 |
0.013 |
$1.25 |
$-14.95 |
-92.3% |