varchar255
0xc798197ae9aff808af4406320f31d822ae788aab
PnL (30d)
+$69
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
59W / 47L · 47 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
88W / 64L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
153
across 45 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$2.46
avg win $19 · loss $10
Profit Factor
1.43
$228 won / $159 lost
Reward / Risk
1.91
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $946 · all-time $210,676
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
323 |
0.835 |
$269.49 |
$14.06 |
+5.5% |
| Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? |
No |
240 |
0.520 |
$124.95 |
$27.44 |
+28.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
43 |
0.988 |
$42.72 |
$1.36 |
+3.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
46 |
0.615 |
$28.19 |
$2.21 |
+8.5% |
| Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? |
Yes |
29 |
0.408 |
$11.82 |
$-10.17 |
-46.3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
271 |
0.007 |
$2.03 |
$1.03 |
+103.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
No |
333 |
0.002 |
$0.50 |
$-0.50 |
-50.0% |