varchar255
0xc798197ae9aff808af4406320f31d822ae788aab
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$7
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
17%
2W / 10L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
12W / 13L
Trades (30d)
25
across 8 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.38
avg win $6 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.64
$12 won / $19 lost
Reward / Risk
0.96
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $946 · all-time $210,676
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
442 |
0.835 |
$368.89 |
$13.46 |
+3.8% |
| Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? |
No |
240 |
0.505 |
$121.34 |
$23.84 |
+24.4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
43 |
0.988 |
$42.72 |
$1.36 |
+3.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
46 |
0.625 |
$28.65 |
$2.67 |
+10.3% |
| Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? |
Yes |
29 |
0.408 |
$11.82 |
$-10.17 |
-46.3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
271 |
0.009 |
$2.44 |
$1.44 |
+143.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
No |
333 |
0.001 |
$0.33 |
$-0.67 |
-66.7% |