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Trader leaderboard/prose0128

prose0128

0xc78d45a110d2a8b0f9682d4f5d6ceedf432787eb
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
66%
76W / 39L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
78W / 43L
Trades (30d)
121
across 15 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$0.17
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.69
$5 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
0.31
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,836 · all-time $273,207

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.7% 785W/676L 292 $34,426
🏛 Politics 60.4% 29W/19L 23 $2,325
⚽ Sports 65.9% 29W/15L 18 $762
🎬 Culture 100.0% 31W/0L 6 $625
₿ Crypto 100.0% 41W/0L 5 $726
💵 Economy 100.0% 6W/0L 4 $444
🌤 Weather 1 $20
🔬 Science 1 $20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No 23 0.986 $22.19 $0.24 +1.1%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 23 0.952 $21.79 $0.06 +0.3%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 21 0.987 $20.54 $0.34 +1.7%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 22 0.915 $20.34 $0.11 +0.5%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 22 0.945 $20.34 $0.32 +1.6%
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? No 22 0.914 $20.33 $0.32 +1.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 22 0.935 $20.29 $0.11 +0.5%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 22 0.915 $20.27 $0.21 +1.0%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 22 0.905 $20.23 $0.11 +0.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? No 21 0.940 $20.19 $-0.09 -0.4%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 22 0.925 $20.18 $0.11 +0.5%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 21 0.971 $20.07 $0.01 +0.1%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 22 0.915 $20.06 $0.11 +0.5%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 21 0.935 $19.98 $-0.11 -0.5%
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 22 0.915 $19.95 $0.11 +0.5%
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 21 0.971 $19.93 $-0.05 -0.3%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 21 0.961 $19.92 $-0.09 -0.5%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 21 0.961 $19.76 $-0.12 -0.6%
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No 20 0.966 $19.57 $-0.14 -0.7%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 20 0.962 $19.24 $0.01 +0.1%
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 20 0.958 $19.15 $-0.03 -0.2%
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? No 20 0.952 $18.96 $0.19 +1.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 22 0.825 $17.76 $-2.26 -11.3%
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 16 0.964 $15.14 $-0.01 -0.1%