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Trader leaderboard/prose0128

prose0128

0xc78d45a110d2a8b0f9682d4f5d6ceedf432787eb
PnL (30d)
+$12
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
785W / 676L · 494 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
1,098W / 816L · 41 open
Trades (30d)
1,955
across 292 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$0.06
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.13
$104 won / $91 lost
Reward / Risk
0.53
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$10
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,702 · all-time $273,073

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.7% 785W/676L 292 $34,426
🏛 Politics 58.0% 29W/21L 24 $2,764
⚽ Sports 64.6% 31W/17L 20 $863
₿ Crypto 69.5% 41W/18L 7 $1,064
🎬 Culture 100.0% 31W/0L 6 $625
💵 Economy 46.2% 6W/7L 5 $584
🌤 Weather 1 $20
🔬 Science 1 $20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No 23 0.986 $22.19 $0.24 +1.1%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 23 0.951 $21.77 $0.03 +0.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 21 0.984 $20.48 $0.28 +1.4%
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? No 21 0.952 $20.34 $0.20 +1.0%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 22 0.915 $20.34 $0.11 +0.5%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 22 0.945 $20.34 $0.32 +1.6%
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? No 22 0.914 $20.33 $0.32 +1.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 21 0.965 $20.31 $0.05 +0.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 22 0.935 $20.29 $0.11 +0.5%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 22 0.905 $20.23 $0.11 +0.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? No 21 0.953 $20.22 $0.12 +0.6%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 22 0.925 $20.18 $0.11 +0.5%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 22 0.911 $20.18 $0.12 +0.6%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 22 0.914 $20.15 $0.01 +0.1%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 22 0.915 $20.06 $0.11 +0.5%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 21 0.969 $20.04 $-0.02 -0.1%
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 22 0.915 $19.95 $0.11 +0.5%
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 21 0.971 $19.93 $-0.05 -0.3%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 21 0.961 $19.92 $-0.09 -0.5%
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 21 0.964 $19.91 $-0.01 -0.1%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 21 0.963 $19.79 $-0.09 -0.5%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 21 0.925 $19.77 $-0.32 -1.6%
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No 20 0.966 $19.57 $-0.14 -0.7%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 20 0.961 $19.23 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 20 0.958 $19.15 $-0.03 -0.2%