PnL (30d)

−$1

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

92%

45W / 4L · 26 open

Win Return (30d)

94%

65W / 4L · 6 open

Trades (30d)

75

across 19 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.07

avg win $0 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.81

$3 won / $4 lost

Reward / Risk

0.18

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	80.3% 313W/77L	184	$2,408
⚽ Sports	80.0% 44W/11L	34	$294
🏛 Politics	88.9% 8W/1L	7	$93
💵 Economy	100.0% 4W/0L	5	$62
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	7	0.825	$6.05	$-0.08	-1.4%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	5	0.986	$5.38	$0.08	+1.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	5	0.225	$1.23	$-3.70	-75.0%