PnL (30d)

−$33

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

80%

313W / 77L · 85 open

Win Return (30d)

80%

356W / 91L · 28 open

Trades (30d)

475

across 184 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.21

avg win $1 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.78

$114 won / $147 lost

Reward / Risk

0.26

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$19

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	80.3% 313W/77L	184	$2,408
⚽ Sports	80.0% 44W/11L	34	$294
🏛 Politics	88.9% 8W/1L	7	$93
💵 Economy	100.0% 4W/0L	5	$62
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	7	0.825	$6.05	$-0.08	-1.4%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	5	0.985	$5.38	$0.08	+1.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	5	0.215	$1.18	$-3.75	-76.1%