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Trader leaderboard/oliman2

oliman2

0xc684828f6b03487759ced2ebdd975f91f3532228
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,331
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$754
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
94%
106W / 7L · 323 open
Win Return (30d)
77%
334W / 102L
Trades (30d)
436
across 72 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$102.35
avg win $151 · loss $7
Profit Factor
45.67
$1,360 won / $30 lost
Reward / Risk
20.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$25
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $56,140 · all-time $9,426,154

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 67.2% 975W/475L 400 $243,570
⚽ Sports 100.0% 3W/0L 43 $6,324
🏛 Politics 93.7% 74W/5L 29 $24,480
🎬 Culture 14 $1,489
₿ Crypto 4 $1,628
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 3 $1,528
🤖 Tech 1 $38

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026? No 22,793 0.975 $22,211.60 $1,703.03 +8.3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 10,745 0.519 $5,581.77 $1,037.80 +22.8%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 18,518 0.278 $5,138.84 $1,204.93 +30.6%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 3,908 0.994 $3,882.91 $286.29 +8.0%
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No 3,474 0.940 $3,265.10 $173.25 +5.6%
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes 3,039 0.800 $2,430.95 $565.60 +30.3%
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? No 2,157 0.942 $2,032.08 $461.47 +29.4%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 17,225 0.115 $1,980.86 $-2,343.03 -54.2%
Will Dallas Wings win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No 1,977 0.957 $1,891.00 $171.01 +9.9%
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes 2,496 0.745 $1,859.17 $291.92 +18.6%
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No 3,260 0.525 $1,711.66 $5.32 +0.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat? No 1,916 0.855 $1,638.31 $52.49 +3.3%
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award? No 1,693 0.963 $1,629.22 $258.44 +18.9%
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No 1,776 0.870 $1,545.50 $159.33 +11.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 2,100 0.729 $1,530.90 $-2.10 -0.1%
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 5,089 0.285 $1,449.84 $-107.77 -6.9%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 2,187 0.645 $1,410.55 $373.12 +36.0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 13,508 0.100 $1,350.82 $-150.08 -10.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 4,977 0.271 $1,348.80 $-590.42 -30.4%
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes 1,310 0.935 $1,224.63 $156.78 +14.7%
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? Yes 2,176 0.524 $1,140.09 $871.83 +325.0%
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No 1,252 0.895 $1,120.85 $96.15 +9.4%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No 1,237 0.845 $1,045.55 $112.92 +12.1%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 1,012 0.985 $995.88 $95.59 +10.6%
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? No 776 0.985 $763.82 $133.14 +21.1%