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Trader leaderboard/oliman2

oliman2

0xc684828f6b03487759ced2ebdd975f91f3532228
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$123
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$120
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
82%
36W / 8L · 19 open
Win Return (30d)
81%
51W / 12L
Trades (30d)
63
across 15 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$13.63
avg win $67 · loss $13
Profit Factor
2.59
$200 won / $77 lost
Reward / Risk
5.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $54,154 · all-time $9,424,168

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 67.2% 975W/475L 399 $243,482
⚽ Sports 100.0% 3W/0L 42 $6,313
🏛 Politics 93.7% 74W/5L 29 $24,480
🎬 Culture 13 $1,471
₿ Crypto 4 $1,628
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 3 $1,528
🤖 Tech 1 $38

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026? No 22,793 0.971 $22,120.43 $1,611.86 +7.9%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 10,745 0.524 $5,635.49 $1,091.52 +24.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 18,518 0.278 $5,138.84 $1,204.93 +30.6%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 3,908 0.994 $3,882.91 $286.29 +8.0%
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No 3,474 0.943 $3,273.78 $181.93 +5.9%
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes 3,059 0.800 $2,446.95 $569.33 +30.3%
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? No 2,157 0.942 $2,031.00 $460.39 +29.3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 17,225 0.115 $1,980.86 $-2,343.03 -54.2%
Will Dallas Wings win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No 1,977 0.957 $1,891.00 $171.01 +9.9%
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes 2,496 0.745 $1,859.17 $291.92 +18.6%
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No 3,260 0.550 $1,793.17 $86.83 +5.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat? No 1,916 0.855 $1,638.31 $52.49 +3.3%
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award? No 1,693 0.964 $1,630.92 $260.14 +19.0%
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No 1,776 0.870 $1,545.50 $159.33 +11.5%
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 5,089 0.285 $1,449.84 $-107.77 -6.9%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 2,187 0.645 $1,410.55 $373.12 +36.0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 13,508 0.100 $1,350.82 $-150.08 -10.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 4,977 0.261 $1,296.54 $-642.68 -33.1%
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes 1,310 0.935 $1,224.63 $156.78 +14.7%
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? Yes 2,176 0.525 $1,142.26 $874.01 +325.8%
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No 1,252 0.890 $1,114.59 $89.88 +8.8%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No 1,237 0.835 $1,033.18 $100.55 +10.8%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 1,012 0.984 $994.86 $94.58 +10.5%
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? No 776 0.985 $763.82 $133.14 +21.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat? Yes 800 0.906 $724.80 $-18.69 -2.5%