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Trader leaderboard/zthunderfury

zthunderfury

0xc682d7943aad07c246986a7aa2989cfcb17817bb
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,024
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
100%
50W / 0L
Trades (30d)
50
across 1 markets · ~50 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $92,576 · all-time $5,158,829

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.3% 193W/122L 100 $587,126
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $31,497
🌤 Weather 1 $10,637
🔬 Science 1 $10,637

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 30,123 0.865 $26,056.04 $511.66 +2.0%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 26,872 0.964 $25,891.18 $2,173.76 +9.2%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No 26,686 0.895 $23,883.75 $2,474.81 +11.6%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 24,552 0.961 $23,582.55 $507.03 +2.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 25,185 0.835 $21,029.55 $1,772.05 +9.2%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 18,357 0.987 $18,118.57 $804.98 +4.6%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 20,743 0.790 $16,397.45 $6,025.88 +58.1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 15,231 0.954 $14,522.85 $192.25 +1.3%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No 15,002 0.885 $13,276.82 $2,132.20 +19.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 10,500 0.972 $10,200.75 $113.76 +1.1%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 10,402 0.948 $9,860.98 $258.33 +2.7%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No 9,970 0.715 $7,128.20 $161.98 +2.3%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? No 4,999 0.981 $4,902.00 $102.49 +2.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 20,743 0.209 $4,345.69 $-6,025.88 -58.1%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 4,293 0.987 $4,235.04 $276.04 +7.0%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 3,614 0.962 $3,474.48 $126.70 +3.8%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 3,000 0.875 $2,625.04 $-15.00 -0.6%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 1,894 0.935 $1,770.87 $66.29 +3.9%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No 1,609 0.930 $1,496.02 $128.33 +9.4%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 862 0.875 $754.02 $123.01 +19.5%
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes 975 0.730 $711.40 $-27.59 -3.7%
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? Yes 700 0.820 $574.10 $42.01 +7.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 995 0.528 $525.72 $-163.19 -23.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 651 0.685 $446.08 $146.52 +48.9%
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes 530 0.785 $415.85 $3.44 +0.8%