| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
30,123 |
0.865 |
$26,056.04 |
$511.66 |
+2.0% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
26,872 |
0.962 |
$25,850.87 |
$2,133.45 |
+9.0% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
No |
26,686 |
0.895 |
$23,883.75 |
$2,474.81 |
+11.6% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
24,552 |
0.962 |
$23,607.10 |
$531.58 |
+2.3% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
27,743 |
0.790 |
$21,930.95 |
$8,059.38 |
+58.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
18,357 |
0.987 |
$18,109.39 |
$795.80 |
+4.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
17,685 |
0.845 |
$14,943.91 |
$1,421.19 |
+10.5% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
15,231 |
0.957 |
$14,568.55 |
$237.94 |
+1.7% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
15,002 |
0.885 |
$13,276.82 |
$2,132.20 |
+19.1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
10,500 |
0.973 |
$10,216.50 |
$129.51 |
+1.3% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
10,402 |
0.952 |
$9,897.39 |
$294.74 |
+3.1% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
9,970 |
0.715 |
$7,128.20 |
$161.98 |
+2.3% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
27,743 |
0.209 |
$5,812.19 |
$-8,059.38 |
-58.1% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
4,999 |
0.977 |
$4,884.50 |
$84.99 |
+1.8% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
4,293 |
0.987 |
$4,235.04 |
$276.04 |
+7.0% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
3,614 |
0.961 |
$3,472.67 |
$124.89 |
+3.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
3,000 |
0.865 |
$2,595.04 |
$-45.00 |
-1.7% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
1,894 |
0.935 |
$1,770.87 |
$66.29 |
+3.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
1,609 |
0.920 |
$1,479.94 |
$112.25 |
+8.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
862 |
0.905 |
$779.87 |
$148.86 |
+23.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
975 |
0.730 |
$711.40 |
$-27.59 |
-3.7% |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? |
Yes |
700 |
0.820 |
$574.10 |
$42.01 |
+7.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
995 |
0.573 |
$569.49 |
$-119.43 |
-17.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
651 |
0.665 |
$433.06 |
$133.50 |
+44.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
530 |
0.785 |
$415.85 |
$3.44 |
+0.8% |