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Trader leaderboard/1PercentBetterT2

1PercentBetterT2

0xc66217ac5172021a21a576c3e24bfec5f0580927
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$277
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$16
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
29%
300W / 721L · 56 open
Win Return (30d)
29%
300W / 739L · 38 open
Trades (30d)
1,077
across 322 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.92
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.38
$167 won / $444 lost
Reward / Risk
0.82
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$76
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,544 · all-time $309,902

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 29.4% 1,410W/3,394L 1454 $42,269
🌤 Weather 50.0% 96W/96L 72 $1,701

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 5? No 31 0.765 $24.01 $-2.04 -7.8%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 5? No 20 0.996 $19.57 $6.60 +50.9%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6? No 34 0.500 $17.00 $-5.78 -25.4%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 6? No 24 0.625 $15.00 $-2.28 -13.2%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 6? No 20 0.705 $14.10 $0.50 +3.7%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 6? No 30 0.455 $13.86 $-5.03 -26.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 6? No 20 0.450 $9.00 $-2.00 -18.2%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? Yes 40 0.165 $6.60 $-8.00 -54.8%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6? Yes 17 0.375 $6.31 $-1.77 -21.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 6? Yes 47 0.135 $6.29 $-5.36 -46.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? No 75 0.081 $6.05 $-28.54 -82.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 5? No 6 0.860 $4.90 $0.17 +3.6%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 6? No 5 0.715 $3.75 $-0.18 -4.7%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 5? No 5 0.715 $3.53 $0.17 +5.1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 5? Yes 25 0.120 $2.98 $-5.96 -66.7%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 5? Yes 6 0.495 $2.91 $0.15 +5.3%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 5? No 6 0.490 $2.69 $-0.06 -2.0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 5? Yes 12 0.165 $1.98 $-1.02 -34.0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 5? Yes 4 0.500 $1.75 $1.01 +138.1%
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026? Yes 20 0.051 $1.03 $-8.57 -89.3%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5? No 2 0.255 $0.63 $-0.51 -44.6%
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City? Yes 70 0.006 $0.42 $-8.69 -95.4%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5? Yes 2 0.170 $0.28 $-0.28 -50.0%
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award? Yes 28 0.005 $0.14 $-11.19 -98.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.004 $0.08 $-6.72 -98.8%