HowToBasic
0xc6393f5177345cf7b9d9f3fbb782fd72da00c5a2
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$33
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$104
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
83%
10W / 2L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
89%
17W / 2L
Trades (30d)
19
across 8 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$4.73
avg win $9 · loss $6
Profit Factor
3.70
$45 won / $12 lost
Reward / Risk
1.48
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$9
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,322 · all-time $4,157,823
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
4,868 |
0.835 |
$4,064.65 |
$164.08 |
+4.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
313 |
0.989 |
$309.59 |
$9.59 |
+3.2% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
312 |
0.955 |
$298.44 |
$-1.56 |
-0.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
256 |
0.855 |
$219.23 |
$19.23 |
+9.6% |
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? |
No |
35 |
0.913 |
$31.68 |
$8.88 |
+39.0% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.625 |
$31.25 |
$-2.25 |
-6.7% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
Yes |
50 |
0.115 |
$5.75 |
$-16.25 |
-73.9% |