PnL (30d)

+$244

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$180

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

80%

53W / 13L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

82%

62W / 14L

Trades (30d)

76

across 46 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$5.82

avg win $10 · loss $11

Profit Factor

3.58

$339 won / $95 lost

Reward / Risk

0.98

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$17

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	80.3% 53W/13L	46	$28,354
🏛 Politics	80.0% 4W/1L	3	$420
⚽ Sports	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$161
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	4,868	0.845	$4,113.32	$212.75	+5.5%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?	No	313	0.988	$309.43	$9.43	+3.1%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	312	0.955	$298.44	$-1.56	-0.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	256	0.855	$219.23	$19.23	+9.6%
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?	No	35	0.912	$31.66	$8.87	+38.9%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	50	0.625	$31.25	$-2.25	-6.7%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Yes	50	0.115	$5.75	$-16.25	-73.9%