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Trader leaderboard/Bperil

Bperil

0xc624cccd414dc90ea329f06cf535fafa40d2ee24
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$640
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,085
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
70W / 17L · 368 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
268W / 187L
Trades (30d)
455
across 98 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$33.67
avg win $53 · loss $9
Profit Factor
12.68
$694 won / $55 lost
Reward / Risk
5.85
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$97
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $27,378 · all-time $1,737,871

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 69.4% 161W/71L 164 $86,873
🏛 Politics 70.8% 17W/7L 49 $27,294
💵 Economy 100.0% 4W/0L 3 $232
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $43

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

88 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes 1,150 0.905 $1,040.81 $88.97 +9.3%
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? Yes 1,211 0.635 $769.18 $-70.04 -8.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 825 0.835 $688.88 $30.88 +4.7%
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? Yes 731 0.940 $686.43 $48.66 +7.6%
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes 2,247 0.265 $595.59 $-80.06 -11.8%
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Yes 690 0.800 $551.86 $7.15 +1.3%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes 906 0.440 $398.45 $20.57 +5.4%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 682 0.510 $348.27 $0.48 +0.1%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No 322 0.955 $307.91 $22.91 +8.0%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes 909 0.325 $295.46 $-4.54 -1.5%
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? Yes 324 0.860 $278.35 $38.35 +16.0%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No 586 0.435 $254.81 $-8.70 -3.3%
Will Josh Green be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor? Yes 257 0.961 $246.53 $-3.46 -1.4%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 4,554 0.052 $239.07 $-0.92 -0.4%
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No 244 0.905 $220.73 $20.73 +10.4%
Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? Yes 769 0.270 $207.69 $7.69 +3.8%
Will Brad Smith be the WI-06 Democratic nominee? Yes 238 0.825 $196.43 $-3.57 -1.8%
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? Yes 191 0.971 $185.85 $36.65 +24.6%
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No 179 0.955 $171.08 $25.32 +17.4%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No 174 0.977 $170.38 $22.78 +15.4%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? No 165 0.975 $161.16 $5.42 +3.5%
Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee? Yes 161 0.966 $155.81 $5.81 +3.9%
Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee? Yes 156 0.975 $152.03 $2.03 +1.4%
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? No 157 0.962 $151.04 $15.90 +11.8%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 389 0.356 $138.38 $-11.62 -7.7%