PnL (30d)

+$2,726

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1,012

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+6.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

69%

161W / 71L · 436 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

383W / 285L

Trades (30d)

668

across 164 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$43.27

avg win $72 · loss $23

Profit Factor

7.14

$3,170 won / $444 lost

Reward / Risk

3.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$103

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	69.4% 161W/71L	164	$86,873
🏛 Politics	70.8% 17W/7L	50	$27,869
💵 Economy	100.0% 4W/0L	3	$232
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$43

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

88 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	1,150	0.905	$1,040.81	$88.97	+9.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	825	0.845	$697.13	$39.13	+5.9%
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	731	0.940	$686.43	$48.66	+7.6%
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	2,247	0.265	$595.59	$-80.06	-11.8%
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	690	0.830	$572.55	$27.84	+5.1%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	906	0.440	$398.45	$20.57	+5.4%
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?	Yes	601	0.655	$393.52	$-61.08	-13.4%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	682	0.522	$356.19	$8.40	+2.4%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	322	0.955	$307.91	$22.91	+8.0%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	909	0.320	$290.91	$-9.09	-3.0%
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	324	0.854	$276.41	$36.41	+15.2%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	586	0.435	$254.81	$-8.70	-3.3%
Will Josh Green be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?	Yes	257	0.959	$246.15	$-3.85	-1.5%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4,554	0.053	$243.62	$3.63	+1.5%
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	244	0.905	$220.73	$20.73	+10.4%
Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	Yes	769	0.265	$203.85	$3.85	+1.9%
Will Brad Smith be the WI-06 Democratic nominee?	Yes	238	0.830	$197.62	$-2.38	-1.2%
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	191	0.970	$185.75	$36.55	+24.5%
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	179	0.955	$171.08	$25.32	+17.4%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	174	0.977	$170.38	$22.78	+15.4%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?	No	165	0.976	$161.41	$5.67	+3.6%
Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee?	Yes	161	0.967	$155.89	$5.89	+3.9%
Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	156	0.974	$151.87	$1.87	+1.2%
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	No	157	0.962	$151.04	$15.90	+11.8%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	389	0.357	$138.77	$-11.23	-7.5%