| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
12,900 |
0.905 |
$11,674.11 |
$358.13 |
+3.2% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
11,926 |
0.935 |
$11,150.85 |
$59.64 |
+0.5% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
11,739 |
0.945 |
$11,093.35 |
$-58.69 |
-0.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
12,546 |
0.845 |
$10,601.40 |
$716.93 |
+7.3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10,723 |
0.925 |
$9,918.77 |
$179.20 |
+1.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
9,051 |
0.920 |
$8,326.94 |
$897.03 |
+12.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
8,618 |
0.935 |
$8,057.84 |
$123.81 |
+1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
8,500 |
0.865 |
$7,352.50 |
$352.61 |
+5.0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
6,850 |
0.974 |
$6,668.47 |
$84.50 |
+1.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
7,350 |
0.835 |
$6,137.24 |
$-337.73 |
-5.2% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
10,129 |
0.605 |
$6,128.04 |
$43.49 |
+0.7% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
No |
7,028 |
0.860 |
$6,043.99 |
$202.41 |
+3.5% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? |
No |
5,943 |
0.885 |
$5,259.42 |
$319.54 |
+6.5% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,637 |
0.875 |
$4,932.37 |
$121.38 |
+2.5% |
| New pandemic in 2026? |
No |
4,493 |
0.935 |
$4,200.77 |
$-19.38 |
-0.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
4,280 |
0.963 |
$4,121.81 |
$81.85 |
+2.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
3,500 |
0.976 |
$3,414.25 |
$263.76 |
+8.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
2,734 |
0.875 |
$2,391.87 |
$452.71 |
+23.3% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026? |
No |
2,176 |
0.975 |
$2,120.29 |
$8.55 |
+0.4% |
| Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? |
No |
2,262 |
0.895 |
$2,024.87 |
$-6.19 |
-0.3% |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? |
No |
2,051 |
0.820 |
$1,682.11 |
$349.14 |
+26.2% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.977 |
$1,465.50 |
$28.50 |
+2.0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
1,497 |
0.977 |
$1,462.27 |
$7.27 |
+0.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.964 |
$1,446.01 |
$22.00 |
+1.5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
1,425 |
0.979 |
$1,394.34 |
$65.07 |
+4.9% |