| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
Yes |
5,975 |
0.555 |
$3,316.04 |
$-506.42 |
-13.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
12,116 |
0.185 |
$2,241.50 |
$371.31 |
+19.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,690 |
0.645 |
$1,735.05 |
$94.15 |
+5.7% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.980 |
$1,470.40 |
$329.51 |
+28.9% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,911 |
0.545 |
$1,041.63 |
$9.56 |
+0.9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
910 |
0.994 |
$904.13 |
$0.48 |
+0.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
530 |
0.995 |
$527.18 |
$5.07 |
+1.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
882 |
0.565 |
$498.17 |
$-60.17 |
-10.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
467 |
0.998 |
$465.55 |
$1.17 |
+0.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
449 |
0.975 |
$437.74 |
$-2.51 |
-0.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
422 |
0.976 |
$411.66 |
$2.23 |
+0.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.385 |
$385.00 |
$185.00 |
+92.5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
288 |
0.923 |
$265.50 |
$2.87 |
+1.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
209 |
0.997 |
$207.78 |
$1.36 |
+0.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
133 |
0.984 |
$131.20 |
$0.57 |
+0.4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
546 |
0.235 |
$128.42 |
$5.95 |
+4.9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
123 |
0.988 |
$120.99 |
$1.08 |
+0.9% |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.110 |
$110.00 |
$10.00 |
+10.0% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.365 |
$73.00 |
$47.00 |
+180.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
69 |
0.962 |
$66.18 |
$-0.09 |
-0.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.561 |
$56.15 |
$13.25 |
+30.9% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
163 |
0.250 |
$40.80 |
$10.27 |
+33.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
395 |
0.085 |
$33.58 |
$0.47 |
+1.4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
1,193 |
0.001 |
$0.60 |
$-15.17 |
-96.2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
568 |
0.001 |
$0.28 |
$-8.23 |
-96.7% |